I think current momentum points to the race being Warren’s to lose both in the primary and in the general. Her biggest hindrance right now is people starting to mock her refusal to speak about M4A in any terms other than overall costs (rather than taxes). Pretty clear after the last debate that her fellow candidates view her as the front runner based on how much time they’re spending attacking her instead of Biden now. If she can weather that for a few months and continue to draw off their supporters, I think she can take Biden when it comes to actual primary season. The Ukraine story, or rather his milquetoast response to it, will turn off a lot of “but her emails” voters.Two part question? Who do you think will get the democratic nomination? Not who you want to win! And second who wins the Presidency?
Two part question? Who do you think will get the democratic nomination? Not who you want to win! And second who wins the Presidency?
Sadly, I think this is correct.B
Biden
Trump
Two part question? Who do you think will get the democratic nomination? Not who you want to win! And second who wins the Presidency?
I’m not sure Trump will even be in the general. Actually, serious question — if he by some miracle gets removed from office via the Senate...is there anything preventing him from continuing to run for another term?
It’s possible. But I look to two points:Sadly, I think this is correct.
I WANT Warren. We'll get Biden. Which means, unless he's removed before then, Trump will get another 4 years to further destroy this country.
All the states that have canceled the Republican primary for next year are gonna feel prett-ay, prett-ay silly if that scenario comes to pass.I don't know. Impeachment isn't a felony. If he were charged and convicted of a federal crime then I think that prevents him from running, but impeachment itself doesn't. That seems like it should be wrong.
It’s possible. But I look to two points:
1. Warren’s recent rise isn’t coming at Biden’s expense, but at the expense of other candidates. That suggests that Biden has a fairly committed base, but that he’s also not the first OR second choice of an even bigger segment of voters.
2. Biden’s current strategy depends on a strong showing in South Carolina. It’s a calculated risk, but still a risk to be willing to take some licks in Iowa and NH and potentially let a losing narrative develop.
Between those, his weak showings in debates, and the Ukraine smears, I think he’s got a real race on his hands.
Is Trump really going to get the independents that got him elected in 2016? At this point I'd take any of them except Biden. I don't have any real problem with Biden but debunked Ukraine theories will be the "bit her emails" of 2020.
It’s probably not ridiculous at all, but I’m electing to stay in denial about that part for now.It seems ridiculous to say but I suspect there are enough Americans that just won't vote for a woman, or will allow whatever narrative about personality that is really misoginistic code for women are icky and untrustworthy, that hands it to Trump or whomever
Parents are finding it's cheaper for the mother to give up her salary and be a stay at home mother than it is for the mother to continue to work and the family had to pay for childcare. The survey also found that the mothers would rather work than be stay at home mothers, but are forced too because they can't afford childcare.
Heard on the local morning news this morning that Massachusetts has some of the highest child care costs on the country.
In Boston, a survey found that 3/4 of parents stated that childcare is to expensive. 47% responded that they can't afford childcare or can afford childcare but can't find available childcare.
This is leading to Women once again becoming stay at home mothers, a reverse in the trends over the last 50 years.
Parents are finding it's cheaper for the mother to give up her salary and be a stay at home mother than it is for the mother to continue to work and the family had to pay for childcare. The survey also found that the mothers would rather work than be stay at home mothers, but are forced too because they can't afford childcare.
On paper there should be so many Trump defectors he shouldn't stand a chance. But we'll find a way to fuck it up.
It’s possible. But I look to two points:
1. Warren’s recent rise isn’t coming at Biden’s expense, but at the expense of other candidates. That suggests that Biden has a fairly committed base, but that he’s also not the first OR second choice of an even bigger segment of voters.
2. Biden’s current strategy depends on a strong showing in South Carolina. It’s a calculated risk, but still a risk to be willing to take some licks in Iowa and NH and potentially let a losing narrative develop.
Between those, his weak showings in debates, and the Ukraine smears, I think he’s got a real race on his hands.
The only way woukd be if the evidence and charged was so overwhelming that they have no choice. But maybe not even then.I feel exactly this way. I feel the democrats will find someone to blow it and Trump will win re-election. I don't think he is going to be removed from office.It would take a miracle in the Senate in my opinon for this to happen.
I may not 100% agree with Mayor Pete on his policies but he would be a good candidate. Military veteran, moderate but can still appeal to younger voters, smart, personable.At this point I think the candidate that has the least amount of baggage is Mayor Pete and if he weren't gay, he might have a real chance.