folsom_lives
Well-Known Member
Is that you, Mike Pence? Was the word "snuggled" too triggering for Mother??!? This ain't SAN FRANCISCO
Is that you, Mike Pence? Was the word "snuggled" too triggering for Mother??!? This ain't SAN FRANCISCO
I think this is a fairly good summation of how most mainstream Republicans view systemic racism in the USA. They often confuse the terms “hard work” with “Luck”."But he can't want them to be successful, more than they want to be successful"
Woooooooooowwww, so the black community isn't successful because they didn't want it enough? Is that what the GOP believes?
Is that you, Mike Pence? Was the word "snuggled" too triggering for Mother?
I'm surprised I was not quoted in this!Truly and sincerely, with love to each of you, I hope and pray you all eat these words next week.
TBH I just did a quick search on "Biden lose" but I'm sure there were probably more to pull (me included maybe? I can't remember).I'm surprised I was not quoted in this!
Depending on which projection you are looking at, Biden was closer~ to Trump in March maybe before the middle of the country was taking Covid serious. According to The Economist, they were projecting it as such President—Forecasting the US 2020 elections
It's interesting to see them be so certain with predicting results. So many pollsters/Election experts are so, so, so, so scared to predict that the election will go one way with certainty because there is a small chance they could be wrong (like in 2016).
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This Canadian election analysis site is pretty bullish about their predictions too in the same way as the above: US Presidency
Real Clear Politics and the like don't weigh polling at all depending on the bias. So their polling averages are all out of wack. There are loads of polls that show Trump tied or up in the GE polling which is insane. These are all not to be trusted, especially when the show the data. They'll have like 30% of Dems voting for Trump and 75% of the Independents which will not happen at all.
Plus early voting data is a huge indicator on how this election can go. I saw today that Texas is almost at 100% of ALL votes in 2016, election day has not even happened yet. If turnout is massive, and Biden/Dem ballots have returned with 5-10% leads or much, much more in states like Texas, NC, Georgia, PA. It's already game over.
Potentially. There is likely some cannibalization of voters that would normally vote on Election Day but the overall numbers are shaping up to quite large.TBH I just did a quick search on "Biden lose" but I'm sure there were probably more to pull (me included maybe? I can't remember).
As I was typing this I just got a news alert that early voting has already reached 51% of the TOTAL 2016 voter turnout. And there's still another week to go. Obviously COVID is giving people a reason to try to spread out when they go to the polls, but no matter how you slice it that has to be a positive signal for turnout, right? At least they're not just staying home.
in Texas, we hit 87% of the total number of 2016 votes by Monday. unsure on what that will mean for the TOTAL total, but youth registrants are up 600% and there are at least 1.4 million first-time voters so far in the count.TBH I just did a quick search on "Biden lose" but I'm sure there were probably more to pull (me included maybe? I can't remember).
As I was typing this I just got a news alert that early voting has already reached 51% of the TOTAL 2016 voter turnout. And there's still another week to go. Obviously COVID is giving people a reason to try to spread out when they go to the polls, but no matter how you slice it that has to be a positive signal for turnout, right? At least they're not just staying home.
The fact that the campaign is sending Harris to the Rio Grande Valley during this final stretch would indicate that the Biden folks think they have a decent shot at Texas too IMO.in Texas, we hit 87% of the total number of 2016 votes by Monday. unsure on what that will mean for the TOTAL total, but youth registrants are up 600% and there are at least 1.4 million first-time voters so far in the count.
trying to not be too hopeful because of, well, everything, but there are certainly cheerier signs than I've ever seen in this state before.
I hope so too! Though the part of my post about M4A is not likely to be wrong.Truly and sincerely, with love to each of you, I hope and pray you all eat these words next week.
I mean hey I'd *LOVE* for you to have to eat those words too, but you were right about that part.I hope so too! Though the part of my post about M4A is not likely to be wrong.
It's going to take a long time for what Trump has awakened to be put to rest, but I wonder if eventually there's going to be a certain Nixon-like amnesia among Trump's supporters. Once some time passes and people have a chance to reflect on the damage he inflicted on the country, how many people will suddenly and forever be in denial that they ever voted for him to begin with?I am glad (desperately hoping?) my company isn't a microcosm of the country. A coworker and I just did some estimating, and we came up with Trump - 35 votes and Biden - 5 in our company of 40 people. Most of these votes aren't via guess-work, because the Trumpers here are very vocal.
I am glad (desperately hoping?) my company isn't a microcosm of the country. A coworker and I just did some estimating, and we came up with Trump - 35 votes and Biden - 5 in our company of 40 people. Most of these votes aren't via guess-work, because the Trumpers here are very vocal.
I'm pretty sure there's a requirement that you have to be very vocal if you are a Trump supporter.I am glad (desperately hoping?) my company isn't a microcosm of the country. A coworker and I just did some estimating, and we came up with Trump - 35 votes and Biden - 5 in our company of 40 people. Most of these votes aren't via guess-work, because the Trumpers here are very vocal.
Just as likely is the Bush-like image rehabilitation tour and people are going to fall for it.It's going to take a long time for what Trump has awakened to be put to rest, but I wonder if eventually there's going to be a certain Nixon-like amnesia among Trump's supporters. Once some time passes and people have a chance to reflect on the damage he inflicted on the country, how many people will suddenly and forever be in denial that they ever voted for him to begin with?
I don't know, I think a big part of the Bush "wasn't so bad" reevaluation relies heavily on how terrible Trump is. So I think for Trump to have a remotely similar phenomenon happen, it's going to have to get worse, which is certainly terrifying to think about.Just as likely is the Bush-like image rehabilitation tour and people are going to fall for it.
But he paints dogs now... so all the war crimes are forgiven...Just as likely is the Bush-like image rehabilitation tour and people are going to fall for it.
I'm pretty sure there's a requirement that you have to be very vocal if you are a Trump supporter.