Neverending Covid-19 Coronavirus



Despite having one of the toughest "lockdowns" in the country, this happened after california reopened some beaches with social distancing rules in place. Southern California is experiencing a heat wave and beaches were opened up for residents to walk, run, swiming and surfing.

Bringing beach blankets, beach chairs, tents and hanging out at the beach was prohibited. Parking lots remained closed in an attempt to keep beach access to local residents only.

As you can see in the pictures, this failed. Yesterday Newport beach was packed like a holiday weekend according to locals, social distancing guidelines completely ignored.
 
Colorado's Governor is allowing the stay at home orders to expire today, April 26 and will not be extending the stay at home orders.

Colorado has not seen 14 days of decline yet.

Balancing the advice of the scientific experts and the needs of the economy, Colorado's Governor feels that the best move for the state of Colorado is to let the stay at home orders expire so people can get back to work. He feels we have reached the point where the number of people out of work and struggling to provide for their family is worse than the virus. With his order, unlike Georgia, he is allowing local communities to have their own stay at home policies where they feel it is best to remain closed a little bit longer. Denver so far is the only community to take advantage of this extending the stay at home order until May 8th.
 
Thanks to a post at Coronavirus. There's a pointer to Coronavirus Disease Outbreak in Call Center, South Korea and a diagram at Figure 2 - Coronavirus Disease Outbreak in Call Center, South Korea - Volume 26, Number 8—August 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC.
"Figure 2. Floor plan of the 11th floor of building X, site of a coronavirus disease outbreak, Seoul, South Korea, 2020. Blue coloring indicates the seating places of persons with confirmed cases."

Abstract
We describe the epidemiology of a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in a call center in South Korea. We obtained information on demographic characteristics by using standardized epidemiologic investigation forms. We performed descriptive analyses and reported the results as frequencies and proportions for categoric variables. Of 1,143 persons who were tested for COVID-19, a total of 97 (8.5%, 95% CI 7.0%–10.3%) had confirmed cases. Of these, 94 were working in an 11th-floor call center with 216 employees, translating to an attack rate of 43.5% (95% CI 36.9%–50.4%). The household secondary attack rate among symptomatic case-patients was 16.2% (95% CI 11.6%– 22.0%). Of the 97 persons with confirmed COVID-19, only 4 (1.9%) remained asymptomatic within 14 days of quarantine, and none of their household contacts acquired secondary infections. Extensive contact tracing, testing all contacts, and early quarantine blocked further transmission and might be effective for containing rapid outbreaks in crowded work settings.

Essentially this spells trouble for offices. When you have people seated next to one another the virus can quickly spread through and office. If we open back up to soon and things return to normal at the traditional offices all it takes is one infected person and then you can an outbreak.
 

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I’m not surprised. Some countries and jurisdictions only report deaths in hospitals and only if there is a diagnosis and the death certificate states COVID as the cause. We’re not talking about China here. Some states and European countries don’t court retirement home deaths.

Let me find some citations.

EDIT:




 
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A couple pre-prints showing vaccination successes in animals (in macaques and mice):



EDIT: The take-home message here is not that these vaccines would necessarily be used in humans. Using an inactivated vaccine poses a certain risk, for one, and would not be the first choice. The point is more that vaccination is possible for SARS-CoV-2 - that an immune response can be induced in animals and that this immune response can protect from SARS-CoV-2 infection at a later point in at least two different animal models. This is pretty good news. The caveat being that the pre-prints are not yet peer-reviewed.
 
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Well my employer send out a mass email to all employees this morning, and as expected we will continue to operate critical services and work from home at least until May 29, 2020. Not sure how I feel about it but it is what it is.
 
Colorado's Governor is allowing the stay at home orders to expire today, April 26 and will not be extending the stay at home orders.

Colorado has not seen 14 days of decline yet.

Balancing the advice of the scientific experts and the needs of the economy, Colorado's Governor feels that the best move for the state of Colorado is to let the stay at home orders expire so people can get back to work. He feels we have reached the point where the number of people out of work and struggling to provide for their family is worse than the virus. With his order, unlike Georgia, he is allowing local communities to have their own stay at home policies where they feel it is best to remain closed a little bit longer. Denver so far is the only community to take advantage of this extending the stay at home order until May 8th.
Neighbor down the street had not one, but two parties/picnics in his front yard Sunday (afternoon & evening). Roughly 20-30 people each time (adults + kids)? Shameful...
 
The governor of Indiana has indicated that he currently has no plans to extend our stay at home order past its current expiration of May 1 (despite seeing our state's highest daily totals of new cases yet on back to back days over the weekend), but even if cases are on the decline, which they aren't, I don't see how this works. Schools have already been closed for the remainder of the school year, statewide. That effectively means the stay at home order is in place at least until the normal end of the school year. If everyone goes back to work, there aren't enough child care resources in the state to make up for the shortfall from schools. The state government is putting parents in a no-win situation where you can't send your kids anywhere, but you also can't decline to go back to work, but you also can't leave your kids at home alone all day. This is not tenable. Return to work and availability of childcare have to be aligned somehow in order to not put parents in an impossible position.
 
Neighbor down the street had not one, but two parties/picnics in his front yard Sunday (afternoon & evening). Roughly 20-30 people each time (adults + kids)? Shameful...

Drive by a Lowe's or a Home Depot any day of the week and it would seem like the stay at home orders are pointless as long as these guys are open.
 
The governor of Indiana has indicated that he currently has no plans to extend our stay at home order past its current expiration of May 1 (despite seeing our state's highest daily totals of new cases yet on back to back days over the weekend), but even if cases are on the decline, which they aren't, I don't see how this works. Schools have already been closed for the remainder of the school year, statewide. That effectively means the stay at home order is in place at least until the normal end of the school year. If everyone goes back to work, there aren't enough child care resources in the state to make up for the shortfall from schools. The state government is putting parents in a no-win situation where you can't send your kids anywhere, but you also can't decline to go back to work, but you also can't leave your kids at home alone all day. This is not tenable. Return to work and availability of childcare have to be aligned somehow in order to not put parents in an impossible position.
Bring your kids to work is the only appropriate civil disobedience.
 
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