I don't think we discussed this yet, but the results of the 2020 census are in.
It it's painting a very clear picture that the GOP will have the advantage in 2022.
Blue states are losing the most seats while Red states are picking up the most seats.
The following states are each losing 1 seat in the house of representatives.
- California
- Illinois
- Michigan
- New York
- Ohio
- Pennsylvania
- West Virginia
The following states are each picking up a seat with the exception of Texas which is picking up two seats.
- Texas
- Colorado
- Florida
- Montana
- North Carolina
- Oregon
With democrats only holding on to the majority in the house by single digits, these shifts in seats have a very good chance of shifting the majority party in 2022. And this is without considering how all the voter suppression bills being passed this year will have an effect on the election results.
As for the swing states listed, if the Republican party is in control at the state level odds are good it's blue seats that will be cut when they redraw lines.